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Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections 2012: Ganesha doesn't foresee a clear-cut victory!

Introduction:

Even as the largest and the most populous state of India goes to the polls on February 8th 2012, there seems to be a little clarity on the prospects of the several parties or their candidates in the fray for the 403 Assembly seats up for grabs. The present Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh, Mayawati is a powerful figure in political circles, her ambitiousness is not hidden from many. Her party Bahujan Samaj Party, the ruling party in Uttar Pradesh, touted as India's fastest growing political party, is one of the frontrunners in these elections. And, so are the other leading political parties including Indian National Congress and Bhartiya Janata Party. Though the UP poll picture is still very hazy, it is being viewed by most as a direct war between Mayawati and Congress candidate and Gandhi scion Rahul Gandhi, who seems to have made this election his personal war. Rahul Gandhi, who hit the campaign trail in the state months ago to establish a one-to-one contact with the grass-root level, has too much at stake in this election. Defeating Mayawati in her own backyard would be a huge achievement for Congress or, for that matter, any political party. The results of this election could also drastically alter the political equations of the ruling coalition in the Centre, where Congress still has two more years to go before the next Lok Sabha polls. The BJP with LK Advani at its helm and Samajwadi Party with Mulayam Singh Yadav at its helm too have not left any stone unturned in their efforts to wrest power in Lucknow.

Who will secure the prestigious victory in high profile UP elections 2012? Will Rahul Gandhi be able to establish himself as a mature political leader and the future PM of India with these elections? Myriad calculations and analyses present a confusing picture. There may be some gains, some losses for all parties, and Ganesha finds out the fortunes of each of them with the help of Vedic Astrology.

Analysis of Bhartiya Janata Party:

Party Name : Bharatiya Janata Party
Founded : 06
th April 1980
Time : 11:45:00
Place : New Delhi

Ganesha observes that natal Sun is posited in the 10th House. Jupiter, being the ruler of the 10th House has been transiting through the 11th House and aspecting the 7th House of public support. Saturn, being the signifier of democracy and Lord of 9th House of fortune is retrograde in the 5th House.

Thus, Ganesha expects that planetary forces are moving favourably for BJP and hence, the party may perform better than expected this time. The favourable transit of Rahu through the 6th House indicates better support of social activists. Finally, Ganesha feels that the party may receive higher number of seats than it had in the previous elections.

Analysis of Congress (I):

Party Name : Indian National Congress (AICCI)
Founded : 02
nd January 1978
Time : 11:30:00
Place : New Delhi

Ganesha observes that natal Sun is posited in Jupiter's sign in the 10th House. Jupiter is having a kind aspect on natal Sun and the 10th House too. Saturn, being the Lord of 11th House of gains is transiting in its retrogression through the 8th House of difficulties. Moreover, transiting Mars is retrograde over natal retrograde Saturn in the 6th House.

All these combinations indicate that the party may try to appease voters on the basis of caste-ism. A close conjunction of Saturn and Mars through the 6th House denotes that the overall reputation of UPA may also get spoiled during this phase. This should decrease its popularity and appeal during the election time.

Analysis of Mayawati's Horoscope:

Real Name : Mayawati
Birth Date : January 15,1956
Birth Time : 20:34:00
Birth Place : Daulatpur, India

Ganesha observes that she was born under the influence of Leo rising ascendant with the presence of Jupiter in the 1st House. At present, she is under the influence of Ketu return through the 10th House of political success. Benefic planet Jupiter is moving favourably through the 9th House of fortune. She is under the influence of Saturn–Jupiter–Venus dasha cycle. All these dasha planets are representing powerful Houses of her chart.

All these planetary forces open up new opportunities for development on the political front. But, this can be a very, very sensitive and important phase in her political career. Due to the transit of Mars over the ascendant, she is likely to take some incorrect decisions for her party. Her expectations and desires regarding these elections may be very high, but she should follow the principle of conservative activism. There can be serious internal disputes and dissatisfaction among senior party members, feels Ganesha.

Analysis of Samajwadi Party :

Party Name : Samajwadi Party
Founded : 04
th October 1992
Time : Unknown
Place : Lucknow

Ganesha observes that Ketu has been transiting through the 6th House of success in competition. Jupiter, being the ascendant Lord is transiting through the 5th House. Plus, Saturn has been transiting through the 11th House.

The overall strength of planets in Samajwadi Party's chart seems average on political grounds, and the party may perform only slightly better compared to previous elections. The affliction of natal Moon will produce conservative emotionalism. Due to Ketu's transit through the 6th House, frustration of party members will be at its peak.

However, the opposition of transiting Jupiter and Saturn will help Samajwadi Party to get better exposure.

What Next:

  • Considering all these planetary forces, Ganesha feels that elections in U.P will be quite tough for all political parties, but there will be some surprising alignment between parties to form a new government, as no party is expected to get a clear majority.

  • One look at the general picture, and it can be expected that this time the overall performance of BJP will be better than Congress.

  • All the political parties will try to appease the voters on the basis of caste-ism and religious sentiments.

  • This time, the voter's mindset will be totally leader-centric and not party-centric.

  • Within Mayawati's Party, there may be some serious internal disputes and dissatisfaction among senior party members.

  • Mayawati will get lesser seats than her expectations.

  • A strong competition will be seen between Mayawati and Mulayam Singh.

  • As per Ganesha's view, BSP may lose voters' support, and there may be a marked decrease in their seats.

  • There will be a prominent rise in Samajwadi Party's (SP) voters' base, and they are likely to gain more seats than they had in the previous polls.

  • Congress' voters' base will increase, but not as per their expectations.

  • BJP will also gain in these elections, and something surprising concerning BJP, in all likelihood, shall happen at the time of results. This event will have lasting effects on the Indian political scenario.

With Ganesha's Grace,
Malav Bhatt.
The GaneshaSpeaks Team.