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AIADMK-PMK alliance: A force or a farce?
After an eight year gap, the PMK (Pattali Makkal Kaatchi) again would be part of the AIADMK-led front. The PMK was in the AIADMK-led front in the 2001 assembly polls, which AIADMK (All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam)won, but parted company following the midnight arrest of DMK (Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam) Chief M Karunanidhi in July 2001 in a graft case. This is the third time that the PMK would be fighting the polls in alliance with the AIADMK. Both were constituents of the BJP-led front in the 1998 Lok Sabha polls. PMK's decision to go with the AIADMK in the Lok Sabha polls and DMDK (Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam) ruling out an alliance with any party makes the election interesting in Tamil Nadu, because of the strength of these parties in the northern Tamil Nadu region.

During the last elections, the DMK-led DPA front which included the Congress, PMK, MDMK (Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazagam), CPI and CPI(M) swept all the 39 seats in Tamil Nadu in addition to the lone seat in Puducherry, washing out the AIADMK-BJP combine. However, the PMK fell out with the DMK, over a host of issues, including the Sri Lankan Tamils' problem, prompting it to switch its loyalty to the AIADMK. The PMK has a 7 percent vote share and a considerable clout among the dominant Vanniyar community which will help the AIADMK combine. The combine also includes MDMK and Left parties in Thiruvallur, Tindivanam, Kancheepuram, Vellore, Krishnagiri districts and some pockets of Thirupatthur, Chidambaram and Salem areas in northern Tamil Nadu. As per the seat-sharing agreement, the PMK has been allotted seven Lok Sabha seats, besides a Rajya Sabha seat in 2010 as per the joint statement issued by the respective supremos. Let's see what Ganesha has to say for this alliance:


AIADMK- PMK composite chart



Composite chart analysis


  • The first house cusp falls in Scorpio and the ruler Mars is placed in the 10th makes the composite chart very strong. The alliance looks extremely motivated and has strength to gain pubic recognition.
  • Ascendant trine Jupiter is yet another favourable factor. So they may make a good impression on public and may also get favour in return.
  • Ascendant trine Saturn will help them to present a responsible and solid alliance and people may find  them reliable.
  • Neptune in the Ascendant Scorpio indicates extremist views and  intense fascination.
  • Neptune square Mars is a bit difficult aspect which indicates they may face problems in channelising the energy of party workers.
  • Moon trine Mars and Moon trine Mercury signify that their thoughts are influenced by feelings and  feelings and actions are in great harmony which might help them during this elections.
  • 6th house cusp falls in Aries and the ruler Mars is in the 10th house so they will  fight the elections with the help of energetic party work force which will be all set to overcome challenges and obstacles.
  • Venus conjunct MC and Sun conjunct MC may help them attract the public at large and hence they will be able to draw crowds in their public meetings.
  • 10th house cusp ruler Sun in the 10th house looks very strong and may help them achieve wonderful results during this election.
  • During the elections the 10th house cusp ruler will be in exaltation and moving through the 10th house will be of great help for the alliance. Transiting Jupiter aspecting the 10th house and transiting Mars conjunct PF (Pars Fortuna) is again a wonderful configuration to have.

Prediction

Considering all these factors Ganesha definitely feels that the alliance looks threatening for the UPA combine in Tamilnadu. It will be like a shot in the arm for the morale of third front and UPA might find itself losing its early momentum. They might clinch important seats and will be able to effect the UPA's chances at central level.

Ganesha's Grace,
Tanmay K.Thakar
The GaneshaSpeaks Team
06 April 2009 10:45:29 GMT
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